Previsioni Meteorologiche Spaziali - Discussione

Emesso: 2024 Nov 13 0030 UTC
Preparati dal Dipartimento di Commercio degli Stati Uniti, NOAA, Centro di Previsione Meteorologica Spaziale e elaborati da SpaceWeatherLive.com

Attività solare

Sommario di 24 ore

Solar activity was at low levels. The largest flare was a C8.2 at 12/1401 UTC related to a filament eruption near N17W90. Slight decay was observed in Region 3883 (S06W74, Eao/beta) and 3889 (S09W02, Fki/beta-gamma-delta). The rest of the spotted regions were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

Previsione

M-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) are likely, with a chance for X-class flares (R3/Strong) on 13-15 Nov.

Particelle energetiche

Sommario di 24 ore

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels and the greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.

Previsione

There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels over 13-15 Nov. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels through 14 Nov.

Vento Solare

Sommario di 24 ore

Solar wind parameters were nominal. Solar wind speed ranged from 340 km/s to 415 km/s. Total field ranged from 2-6 nT while the Bz component was between +/-5 nT. Phi angle was mostly positive.

Previsione

Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to prevail over 13-15 Nov due to the onset of a positive polarity CH HSS.

Geospaziale

Sommario di 24 ore

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Previsione

Unsettled to active levels, with a chance for G1 (Minor) storm levels, are expected on 13-15 Nov with CH HSS onset.