Double X-flares, glancing blow possible

вівторок, 8 жовтня 2024 17:14 UTC

The latter eruption produced a large coronal mass ejection of the west limb with LASCO showing an asymmetrical full halo coronal mass ejection. It did not look earth-directed from the get-go but with additional LASCO imagery we do see a asymmetrical full halo coronal mass ejection with the bulk clearly heading well south-west of our planet.

A strong impact at Earth from this event is not very likely, but a glancing blow or shock is very much possible. Hard to say what kind of activity to expect from it but we do not expect conditions above Kp5. Based on the speed of the cloud, a glancing blow could be possible early on Thursday, 10 October. The NOAA SWPC is still analyzing the event but in their latest analysis they did mention the cloud appears to be ahead of the Sun-Earth line.

After reviewing additional imagery from the coronal mass ejection launched during yesterday's long duration X1 event, we do see an asymmetrical full halo coronal mass ejection leaving the Sun. Our latest verdict is that a glancing blow should not be ruled out likely during the… pic.twitter.com/67J1fcn6Np

— SpaceWeatherLive (@_SpaceWeather_) October 8, 2024