Прогноз Космічної Погоди - Обговорення

Випущено: 2025 Jan 13 0030 UTC
Надано Міністерством торгівлі США, NOAA, Центром прогнозування космічної погоди і опрацьовано SpaceWeatherLive.com

Сонячна активність

Підсумок за добу

Solar activity was low with only C-class flare activity observed. New Regions 3957 (N21W40, Bxo/beta), 3958 (S06E49, Axx/alpha), and 3959 (N19E72, Hsx/alpha) were numbered this period while the remaining regions were stable. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in available data.

Прогноз

There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) events, and a slight chance for an R3 or greater event, over 13-15 Jan.

Заряджені Частинки

Підсумок за добу

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

Прогноз

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels through 15 Jan. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels over 13-15 Jan.

Сонячний Вітер

Підсумок за добу

Solar wind parameters remained slightly enhanced this period as positive polarity CH HSS influences waned. Total field strength reached 10 nT and the Bz component varied between +/-6 nT. Solar wind speeds decreased from a high of around 450 km/s early in the period to end-of-period values near 375-400 km/s.

Прогноз

Mildly enhanced solar wind conditions and negative polarity CH HSS influences are expected on 14-15 Jan.

Геопростір

Підсумок за добу

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Прогноз

Quiet and unsettled conditions are expected to prevail over 13-15 Jan, with negative polarity CH HSS influences likely on 14-15 Jan.