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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Datum verslag: 2014 Mar 30 1323 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Zonnevlammen

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Proton Flux monitor

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm flux	Ap
30 Mar 2014	143	007
31 Mar 2014	140	007
01 Apr 2014	137	013

Bulletin

NOAA AR 2017 released an X1.0 flare with peak at 17:48 UT on March 29, associated with radio bursts, a full halo CME and an increase in GOES proton fluxes (not passing the threshold). This region is expected to produce M-class flares and probably X-class flares, it has a beta gamma delta magnetic configuration. A type II radio burst was detected at 11:52 UT, close in time of a C-class flare, this may mark the presence of another CME, but there is no data available yet. The full halo CME related to the X1.0 flare was first seen at 18:12 UT by LASCO-C2. The speeds measured are of 510 km/s (LASCO-C3), giving an expected arrival time (using DBM) to the Earth of 04:30 UT on April 2. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet, the situation may change when/if the CMEs from March 28 arrive to the Earth early on April 1 (expected 05:00 UT).

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 063, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 29 Mar 2014

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	143
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	008
Estimated Ap	008
Estimated international sunspot number	084 - Based on 26 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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