Datum verslag: 2014 Nov 05 1232 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
05 Nov 2014 | 131 | 015 |
06 Nov 2014 | 133 | 015 |
07 Nov 2014 | 135 | 007 |
Solar activity was dominated by the M7.9 flare peaking at 9:47 UT and originating from the new NOAA AR 2205 turning further into view. It was associated with a type II radio burst detected by Humain and Learmonth. Learmonth reports an estimated shock speed of between 364-556 km/s. SDO data to analyse the event closely are not available yet. A corresponding CME is visible in preliminary SOHO/LASCO C2 data but the onset is missed due to a data gap. We will follow up as more data becomes available. No other significant flaring activity occurred. Some further development and separation was recorded in Catania groups 3 (NOAA AR 2201), 4 (NOAA AR 2203) and 5 (NOAA unnumbered) as well as some flux emergence in Catania group 98 (NOAA AR 2200). Additional M flares are likely from NOAA AR 2205. Solar wind speed has been steadily increasing over the last 24 hours from just below 420 km/s to about 520 km/s presently. Total magnetic field reached a peak of over 14 nT at the start of the reporting period, but has decreased and is presently around 7 nT. Bz also reached peaks of -12 nT at the start of the reporting period. Consequently active geomagnetic conditions were recorded in the first part of the reporting period (NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 4) later recovering to quiet to unsettled conditions. Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to continue under the influence of a coronal hole high speed stream with quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions with possible periods of active geomagnetic conditions.
Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 105, gebaseerd op 12 stations.
Wolfgetal Catania | /// |
10cm zonneflux | 129 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 043 |
AK Wingst | 027 |
Geschatte Ap | 026 |
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal | 076 - Gebaseerd op 14 stations |
Dag | Start | Max | Einde | Locatie | Sterkte | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Soorten radio-uitbarstingen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 | 0926 | 0947 | 0955 | N20E68 | M7.9 | 1N | 240 | --/2205 | II/2 |
Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive
Alle tijden in UTC
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