Datum verslag: 2015 Apr 30 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
30 Apr 2015 | 106 | 017 |
01 May 2015 | 110 | 008 |
02 May 2015 | 114 | 008 |
The solar disk currently is almost spotless. One single C1.0 flare occurred at the southwest limb. A faint CME was visible, with first measurement in SOHO/LASCO-C2 at 2:24 UT on April 30, related to backside activity and propagating north. There is some chance (40%) for further C-class flares. Solar wind observations indicate the arrival of a flow related to a positive polarity coronal hole. Around 4:00 UT on April 30, temperature and solar wind speed increased (currently at 370 km/s), while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) became more variable and increased to 12 nT. The south component of the IMF is fluctuating between -6 and +8nT. Quiet to unsettled (local K=0 to 3 at Dourbes) geomagnetic conditions were observed. Mainly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected, with some chance for a few time slots of active (K=4) to minor storm (K=5) conditions within the next 24 hours. Another flow emanating from the extension of a negative polarity northern coronal hole could arrive on May 2.
Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 011, gebaseerd op 23 stations.
Wolfgetal Catania | 036 |
10cm zonneflux | 104 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 011 |
AK Wingst | 004 |
Geschatte Ap | 003 |
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal | 020 - Gebaseerd op 26 stations |
Dag | Start | Max | Einde | Locatie | Sterkte | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Soorten radio-uitbarstingen | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Geen |
Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive
Alle tijden in UTC
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