Datum verslag: 2016 Aug 17 1253 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
17 Aug 2016 | 085 | 008 |
18 Aug 2016 | 083 | 014 |
19 Aug 2016 | 081 | 007 |
Solar activity is very low. No C flares or CMEs were observed. Five active regions are presently observed on the visible side of the solar disc. Their photospheric magnetic field configuration is simple (beta and alpha configuration). The low latitude coronal hole reached central meridian around 00:00 UT today (17-Aug-2016). Solar proton flux intensity is expected to lie within the background levels. No large flares expected (although C-class flares are possible).
The solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR is slowly increasing and it presently amounts about 420 km/s, probably due to the arrival of the fast solar wind from the low latitude coronal hole, which reached central meridian yesterday afternoon. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (Bt) first was around 5 nT until it started fluctuating between about 5 and 12 nT since 19:00 UT yesterday (16-Aug-2016). In the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 3). Active to minor geomagnetic storm conditions (K Dourbes = 3-4) are possible from tomorrow (18-Aug-2016) due to the expected arrival of a high speed stream associated with a negative coronal hole. A return to quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions is expected 19-Aug-2016.
Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 058, gebaseerd op 25 stations.
Wolfgetal Catania | /// |
10cm zonneflux | 087 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 015 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Geschatte Ap | 007 |
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal | 081 - Gebaseerd op 35 stations |
Dag | Start | Max | Einde | Locatie | Sterkte | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Soorten radio-uitbarstingen | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Geen |
Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive
Alle tijden in UTC
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