Datum verslag: 2016 Sep 17 1231 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
17 Sep 2016 | 084 | 004 |
18 Sep 2016 | 085 | 004 |
19 Sep 2016 | 084 | 012 |
Solar activity has been very low. No flares, no Earth directed coronal mass ejections (CME) have been observed. Cactus detected only few slow narrow and backsided CMEs over the past 24 hours. Active Region (AR) NOAA 2592 (Macintosh class:Bxo; Mag. type:Beta) has shown low levels of activity. Another presently observed on the solar disk NOAA AR 2591 has simple magnetic configuration and the probability to produce a flare is small. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain very low over the next 24 hours with a probability of B-class flares only.
The variations of the solar wind parameters were very weak. The Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR and ACE fluctuated around 330 km/s. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (Bt) remained steady with the value around 6 nT. The Bz component fluctuated between +5 and -4 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been very quiet in the past 24 hours (K Dourbes between 1 and 2; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Geomagnetic activity is expected to continue at low levels today (17-Aug-2016) and tomorrow (18-Aug-2016). Active to minor geomagnetic storm conditions (Kp NOAA between 3 and 4) are possible from 19-Aug-2016 as a possible response to the negative polarity coronal hole moving into a potentially geoeffective position.
Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 013, gebaseerd op 13 stations.
Wolfgetal Catania | 027 |
10cm zonneflux | 084 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
AK Wingst | 003 |
Geschatte Ap | 002 |
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal | 014 - Gebaseerd op 28 stations |
Dag | Start | Max | Einde | Locatie | Sterkte | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Soorten radio-uitbarstingen | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Geen |
Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive
Alle tijden in UTC
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Actieve geomagnetische condities (Kp4) Drempel bereikt: 19:56 UTC
Het OVATION-model voorspelt dat het hemisferisch vermogen 50GW zal bereiken om 17:42 UTC
Actieve geomagnetische condities (Kp4) Drempel bereikt: 22:34 UTC
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Zonnevlekkenloze dagen | |
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