Datum verslag: 2016 Sep 28 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
28 Sep 2016 | 085 | 049 |
29 Sep 2016 | 081 | 030 |
30 Sep 2016 | 078 | 011 |
Solar activity is very low with only B-class flares reported. We expect solar activity to be low with possible, but not very probable, isolated C-class flare from the only active region observed on the visible side of the solar disc, NOAA AR 2597. No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours. The Earth is presently inside the fast solar wind with the speed of about 660 km/s (the peak value of 740 km/s was reached early this morning), and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 7 nT. The arrival of the fast solar wind from the coronal hole in the northern hemisphere with a low latitude extension (possibly also connected to the coronal hole on the southern hemisphere) has induced disturbed geomagnetic conditions in the evening of September 27 and early morning of September 28. The combination of the fast solar wind speed (about 600 km/s) and the intervals of the negative value of the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (down to -9 nT), has caused the moderate storm conditions. The Potsdam station reported up to K=6, and NOAA reported Kp=6. We expect disturbed geomagnetic conditions to continue in the coming hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 032, based on 20 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 036 |
10cm solar flux | 086 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 051 |
AK Wingst | 036 |
Estimated Ap | 039 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 025 - Based on 33 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Einde | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Geen |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Alle tijden in UTC
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Het OVATION-model voorspelt dat het hemisferisch vermogen 50GW zal bereiken om 04:56 UTC
Actieve geomagnetische condities (Kp4) Drempel bereikt: 01:32 UTC
Matige M2.5 zonnevlam
Kleine R1 radio blackout gedetecteerd (≥M1 - momenteel: M1.45)
Begintijd: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Maximumtijd: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Duurtijd: 1 minuten. Piekflux: 190 sfu
Laatste X-klasse uitbarsting | 28/03/2025 | X1.1 |
Laatste M-klasse uitbarsting | 01/04/2025 | M2.5 |
Laatste geomagnetische storm | 27/03/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
Zonnevlekkenloze dagen | |
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Laatste zonnevlekkenloze dag | 08/06/2022 |
Maandelijks gemiddeld zonnevlekkengetal | |
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februari 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
april 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Afgelopen 30 dagen | 130.7 -17.9 |