Datum verslag: 2016 Oct 07 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
07 Oct 2016 | 102 | 011 |
08 Oct 2016 | 102 | 010 |
09 Oct 2016 | 101 | 010 |
Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been very low. No significant flares have been recorded. There are currently two Active Regions (ARs) near disk centre, and a new AR (2600) that emerged over the east limb. All appear stable in HMI magnetogram observations. There is a small northern polar coronal hole that is not expected to increase solar wind speeds at Earth. Although the Sun has been quiet there is a reasonable chance of C-class flares over the next 24 hours. The solar wind speed has fluctuated between 425 and 475 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 4 nT and 7 nT. The Bz component fluctuated between -4 and +5 nT, but remained mainly positive. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 0-3 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. There is currently a positive polarity Northern polar coronal hole which shouldn't affect the Earth. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 061, gebaseerd op 08 stations.
Wolfgetal Catania | 088 |
10cm zonneflux | 102 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
AK Wingst | 007 |
Geschatte Ap | 006 |
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal | 059 - Gebaseerd op 25 stations |
Dag | Start | Max | Einde | Locatie | Sterkte | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Soorten radio-uitbarstingen | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Geen |
Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive
Alle tijden in UTC
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