Datum verslag: 2019 Sep 25 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
25 Sep 2019 | 067 | 009 |
26 Sep 2019 | 067 | 007 |
27 Sep 2019 | 066 | 017 |
Solar X-ray flux remained below B class levels throughout the period. The Solar disk is spotless and the X-ray flux is expected to remain at or below background levels.
There were no Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) observed in coronagraph data.
Proton levels were at background values and are expected to remain so.
The solar wind speed has fluctuated between 350 and 500 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 2 and 17 nT peaking at 17:00 UT yesterday. The Bz between -9 and 15 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-4 (NOAA) and local K index 0-3 (Dourbes).
The solar wind conditions became enhanced late yesterday and early this morning due to the arrival of a high speed stream (HSS) from a recurrent equatorial coronal hole. Solar wind conditions are expected to be enhanced throughout the day, before abating later today / early tomorrow. As a consequence geomagnetic conditions are expected to be unsettled, with some active periods due to HSS solar wind enhancements.
Around 27-Sep-2019 we may begin to feel the effects from a second larger recurrent coronal hole, which has just passed the central meridian. On the coronal holes last rotation the resultant HSS produced Kp 6 (NOAA).
Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 000, gebaseerd op 13 stations.
Wolfgetal Catania | /// |
10cm zonneflux | 067 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 015 |
AK Wingst | 014 |
Geschatte Ap | 013 |
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal | 000 - Gebaseerd op 18 stations |
Dag | Start | Max | Einde | Locatie | Sterkte | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Soorten radio-uitbarstingen | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Geen |
Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive
Alle tijden in UTC
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Actieve geomagnetische condities (Kp4) Drempel bereikt: 19:56 UTC
Het OVATION-model voorspelt dat het hemisferisch vermogen 50GW zal bereiken om 17:42 UTC
Actieve geomagnetische condities (Kp4) Drempel bereikt: 22:34 UTC
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Zonnevlekkenloze dagen | |
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