Het archief bekijken van maandag 27 maart 2023

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Datum verslag: 2023 Mar 27 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 27 Mar 2023 until 29 Mar 2023
Zonnevlammen

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Proton Flux monitor

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
27 Mar 2023175002
28 Mar 2023173003
29 Mar 2023170005

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours, the solar flaring activity has been at low levels with nine low C-class flares observed. There are nine numbered active regions observed on the visible side of the solar disk. Most of the flaring activity originated from Catania group 24 (NOAA AR 3256) which has a beta-gamma configuration of the photospheric magnetic field and is currently the most complex active region on the visible side of the solar disk. All other regions have an alpha or beta configuration of their photospheric magnetic field. The solar flaring activity is expected to remain at low levels over the next 24 hours with C-class flares expected and a very small possibility of M-class flares.

During the last 24 hours there were no potentially Earth-directed coronal mass ejections detected in the available coronagraph observations.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux has been around the 1000 pfu threshold since March 27 00:25UT, barely crossing the threshold and continues to remain so. We expect it will remain around the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

The solar wind parameters of the last 24 hours still reflect conditions of the high speed stream that arrived on the 25th of March. The solar wind speed increased to values of up to about 650 km/s. Starting from 16:00UT on the 27th of March, it declined towards values of about 570km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field strength was about 6-7 nT during the last 24 hours. We expect the solar wind speed and magnetic field to stay enhanced as long as Earth resides in the high speed stream. From early March 30 onwards, we are expecting the arrival of another high speed stream, associated with the negative polarity, equatorial coronal hole which started to cross the central meridian today.

During the last 24 hours, the geomagnetic conditions were quiet with the K and Kp values between 1-2 as reported by the local station at Dourbes and NOAA, respectively. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 156, based on 21 stations.

Solar indices for 26 Mar 2023

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux159
AK Chambon La Forêt011
AK Wingst009
Estimated Ap008
Estimated international sunspot number149 - Based on 11 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEindeLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Geen

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

Alle tijden in UTC

<< Keer terug naar de dagelijkse overview pagina

Op basis van de huidige parameters is er nu geen kans op poollicht in België en Nederland

Op basis van de huidige parameters is er in de nabije toekomst een beperkte kans op poollicht op de volgende locaties van de hoge breedtegraad

Gillam, MB, Yellowknife, NT

Laatste nieuws

Steun Poollicht.be!

Om ook bereikbaar te blijven bij grote poollichtkansen hebben we een zware server nodig die alle bezoekers aankan. Doneer en steun dit project zodat we online blijven en je geen enkele poollichtkans mist!

Donneer SpaceWeatherLive Pro
Steun SpaceWeatherLive met onze merchandise
Check nu onze merchandise

Laatste alerts

woensdag 2 april 2025
04:03 UTC - Hemisferisch vermogen

Het OVATION-model voorspelt dat het hemisferisch vermogen 50GW zal bereiken om 04:56 UTC


01:45 UTC - Geomagnetische activiteit

Actieve geomagnetische condities (Kp4) Drempel bereikt: 01:32 UTC

alert


dinsdag 1 april 2025
22:51 UTC - Zonnevlam

Matige M2.5 zonnevlam

alert


22:30 UTC - Radio blackout

Kleine R1 radio blackout gedetecteerd (≥M1 - momenteel: M1.45)


07:15 UTC - 10cm radio-uitbarsting

Begintijd: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Maximumtijd: 01/04/2025 06:45 UTC Duurtijd: 1 minuten. Piekflux: 190 sfu


Ontvang directe meldingen!

Ruimteweer feitjes

Laatste X-klasse uitbarsting28/03/2025X1.1
Laatste M-klasse uitbarsting01/04/2025M2.5
Laatste geomagnetische storm27/03/2025Kp5 (G1)
Zonnevlekkenloze dagen
Laatste zonnevlekkenloze dag08/06/2022
Maandelijks gemiddeld zonnevlekkengetal
februari 2025154.6 +17.6
april 2025152.5 -2.1
Afgelopen 30 dagen130.7 -17.9

Deze dag in de geschiedenis*

Zonnevlammen
12001X1.77
22017M8.35
31999M6.2
42001M3.57
52017M1.81
DstG
11979-168G4
21960-151G3
31992-105G2
42004-104G2
51994-103G3
*sinds 1994

Sociale netwerken