Het archief bekijken van maandag 16 oktober 2023

Dagelijks bulletin over zonne- en geomagnetische activiteit van het SIDC

Datum verslag: 2023 Oct 16 1231 UTC

SIDC Prognose

Zonnevlammen

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Proton Flux monitor

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
16 Oct 2023	142	004
17 Oct 2023	140	006
18 Oct 2023	140	005

Zonnevlekkengebieden en zonnevlammen

The solar flaring activity was at low levels. There are currently seven numbered regions on the solar disk, including newly numbered region NOAA 3468 on the south west limb. The largest flare was a C3.9 flare, peaking at 16:33 UTC on October 15, associated with NOAA AR 3464. This region along with NOAA AR3468 were the most active over the period. NOAA AR 3460 is about to rotate off the disk. The remaining regions were mostly stable and quiet. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low levels over the next 24 hours with C-class flares likely and a low chance for isolated M-class flares.

Coronale massa uitstoten

There were no Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) detected in the available coronagraph observations.

Coronale gaten

A small negative polarity coronal hole near the equator began to cross the central meridian on October 16.

Zonnewind

The solar wind parameters reflected a return to a slow solar wind regime The interplanetary magnetic field ranged between 0 and 4 nT. Bz had a minimum value of -2 nT. The solar wind speed decreased further from 430km/s to 330 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field orientation was predominantly in the negative sector (field directed towards the Sun). The solar wind parameters are expected to reflect nominal conditions for the next days, with possible slight enhancements from October 18 due to coronal hole influences.

Geomagnetisme

During last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were at quiet to unsettled levels (NOAA Kp 1-2, K Bel 1-3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be at quiet levels.

Proton flux niveaus

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next days.

Elektronenfluxen in geostationaire baan

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu threshold as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to remain below this threshold over the next days. The 24 hour electron fluence was at nominal levels. The electron fluence is expected to be at nominal levels for the next days.

Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 102, gebaseerd op 16 stations.

Zon indexen voor 15 Oct 2023

Wolfgetal Catania	///
10cm zonneflux	145
AK Chambon La Forêt	010
AK Wingst	004
Geschatte Ap	003
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal	102 - Gebaseerd op 21 stations

Overzicht opvallende gebeurtenissen

Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive

Alle tijden in UTC

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