Het archief bekijken van maandag 11 maart 2024

Dagelijks bulletin over zonne- en geomagnetische activiteit van het SIDC

Datum verslag: 2024 Mar 11 1232 UTC

SIDC Prognose

Zonnevlammen

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetisme

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Proton Flux monitor

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm flux	Ap
11 Mar 2024	127	007
12 Mar 2024	127	007
13 Mar 2024	125	016

Zonnevlekkengebieden en zonnevlammen

The solar flaring activity was at moderate level during the last 24 hours. The strongest reported flare was an M7.4 flare which peaked at 12:13 UTC on 10 March, from NOAA AR 3599. This region has evolved into a beta-gamma-delta magnetic field configuration and can produce M and X-class flares.

Coronale massa uitstoten

The M7.4 flare from NOAA AR 3599 was related to dimmings and an EUV wave and CME directed towards the west. The CME was not very wide (apparent angular width of about 70 degrees) and speed close to 500 km/s. We may see a glancing blow of this CME on 13 March. No other Earth-directed CMEs were detected in the available coronagraph observations in the last 24 hours.

Coronale gaten

An equatorial (positive polarity) coronal hole crossed the central meridian on March 10. The high speed solar wind from this coronal hole may arrive at Earth on 13 March.

Zonnewind

The Earth is inside slow solar wind, with speeds close to 380 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field around 3 nT. Similar solar wind conditions can be expected over the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetisme

Geomagnetic conditions were globally and locally at quiet levels (NOAA_Kp and K_BEL 0 to 2). Similar conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.

Proton flux niveaus

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours. Since NOAA AR 3599 has a complex magnetic field configuration, it is located in the western hemisphere and has been active in terms of flares and CMEs in the last 24 hours, a proton event in the next 24 hours may not be discarded.

Elektronenfluxen in geostationaire baan

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux from GOES 16 was slightly above the threshold level in the last 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal level and is expected to remain so.

Het geschatte internationale zonnevlekkengetal (ISN) van vandaag: 071, gebaseerd op 07 stations.

Zon indexen voor 10 Mar 2024

Wolfgetal Catania	///
10cm zonneflux	127
AK Chambon La Forêt	012
AK Wingst	010
Geschatte Ap	008
Geschat internationaal zonnevlekkengetal	080 - Gebaseerd op 08 stations

Overzicht opvallende gebeurtenissen

Aangeboden door het Solar Influences Data Analysis Center© - SIDC - Verwerkt door SpaceWeatherLive

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