Het archief bekijken van maandag 23 juni 2003
Activiteitenrapport
Bij elke genoemde zonnevlam in dit rapport werd een schaalfactor toegepast door het Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Vanwege de SWPC-schaalfactor worden zonnevlammen 42% kleiner gerapporteerd dan voor de wetenschappelijke data. De schaalfactor werd verwijderd uit onze gearchiveerde zonnevlamdata om de werkelijke fysieke eenheden weer te geven.
Rapport van de zonne- en geofysische activiteit van 2003 Jun 23 2200 UTC
Opgemaakt door de NOAA © SWPC en verwerkt door Poollicht.beUSAF/NOAA rapport van de zonneactiviteit en geofysische activiteit
SDF Nummer 174 gepubliceerd omstreeks 2200Z op 23 Jun 2003
IA. Analyse van de actieve zonneregio's en zonneactiviteit van 22-2100Z tot 23-2100Z
Solar activity was low due to a single C1/Sf flare from
Region 388 (S01W47) at 22/2148Z. Regions 386 (S07W22), 387 (N17W03),
and 388 exhibited little change this period and produced no
significant activity. A new region emerged to the south of Region
387 and was numbered 391 (N15E03).
IB. Voorspelling zonneactiviteit
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels. There is a slight chance for a low M-class flare
primarily from Region 386.
IIA. Samenvatting geofysische activiteit 22-2100Z tot 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active with an isolated minor
storm period between 23/03-06Z. The field was disturbed due to a
high speed coronal hole stream which peaked near 600 km/s very early
in the period and has been in slow decline since. The greater than 2
MeV electrons reached high levels today.
IIB. Voorspelling geofysische activiteit
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be primarily unsettled with isolated active periods.
III. Kans zonnevlammen van 24 Jun tot 26 Jun
Klasse M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Klasse X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
PCAF | green
|
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Geobserveerd 23 Jun 114
Voorspeld 24 Jun-26 Jun 115/115/115
90 dagen gemiddelde 23 Jun 126
V. Geomagnetische A index
Geobserveerd Afr/Ap 22 Jun 011/016
Geraamd Afr/Ap 23 Jun 020/020
Voorspeld Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun 012/012-012/012-010/012
VI. Kansen op geomagnetische activiteit van 24 Jun tot 26 Jun
A. Gemiddelde breedtegraad |
Actief | 30% | 30% | 25% |
Kleine storm | 10% | 10% | 05% |
Zware-ernstige stormcondities | 05% | 05% | 01% |
B. Hoge breedtegraad |
Actief | 35% | 35% | 30% |
Kleine storm | 15% | 15% | 10% |
Zware-ernstige stormcondities | 05% | 05% | 05% |
Comments
K-indicies
The scaling problem with the Boulder magnetometer instrument has been fixed and the instrument has been redesignated as the primary instrument for Boulder K-indices.
GOES Protons
To ensure continued operational monitoring of important energetic particle data, it is necessary to reassign primary/secondary designations for the GOES Space Environment Monitor (SEM) detectors. GOES 11 (113W) is now the primary satellite for protons. GOES 12 will continue as the primary satellite for magnetometer, X-ray, and electron measurements. GOES 10 (135W) will be the secondary satellite for all SEM sensors - magnetometer, X-ray, and energetic particles. Because of the degraded state of the proton data on GOES-10, its designation as the secondary source for proton data is a short-term solution. More permanent solutions have been identified and are being evaluated. Users will be notified when we define and schedule a permanent fix. Further details can be found at http://www.sec.noaa.gov/GOES.html.
Alle tijden in UTC
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