Wednesday, 8 May 2019 15:47 UTC
A faint halo coronal mass ejection with a possible earth-directed component has been detected in coronagraph imagery from SOHO/LASCO.
The coronal mass ejection became first visible yesterday during the early hours of 7 May. Source of this plasma cloud is continues activity in sunspot region 2740 but a specific event is hard to pinpoint. However, with the help of STEREO Ahead we do know that this coronal mass ejection is a front side event from a source facing Earth.
The coronal mass ejection is really faint and only really shows itself with the help of difference imagery. Below you will find an animation of such imagery from SOHO/LASCO C2. You can see the faint outline of an expanding halo which signals that this plasma cloud could have an earth-directed component. The cloud is faint and slow so do not get your hopes up too much but it will be an interesting event to follow. Most of the cloud is heading well north-west and only a faint outline can be seen expanding towards the south east and with a speed of about only 400km/s, the plasma cloud is not much faster than the ambient solar wind. A glancing blow is possible from this event but we should at most expect a minor increase in geomagnetic activity at Earth. Geomagnetic storming is very unlikely. With a speed of about 400km/s, the cloud will likely arrive at Earth somewhere late on 10 May which would be this Friday or early on 11 May.
Animation: A faint halo coronal mass ejection as seen by the SOHO/LASCO C2 coronagraph instrument.
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Begin Time: 25/03/2025 12:36 UTC Estimated Velocity: 516km/sec.
The anticipated strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch never materialized as the coronal mass ejection that was supposed to arrive early yesterday didn't arrive until today just past midnight UTC. The impact was very lackluster with the Bt (total strength of the IMF) increasing to a moderate 15nT at best and the solar wind speed reaching just 420km/s. A far cry from the anticipated 700 to 800km/s. That once again goes to show how hard it is to forecast space weather events and any resulting geomagnetic conditions. We remain under the influence of the CME and high latitude sky watchers should remain alert for some nice aurora displays but middle latitude sky watchers will probably have to wait for the next opportunity.
Read moreA transequatorial coronal hole is facing Earth. Enhanced solar wind could arrive in ~3 days
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