Solar activity report

Below you'll find a daily report brought to you by the NOAA about the solar activity and auroral activity during the past day and the prediction for the coming days. This page is daily updated around midnight.

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2025 Apr 25 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 115 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Apr 2025

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 12 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (26 Apr, 27 Apr, 28 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 593 km/s at 25/0334Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 24/2115Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at 24/2113Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 718 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (26 Apr), quiet to active levels on day two (27 Apr) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (28 Apr).
III. Event Probabilities 26 Apr to 28 Apr
Class M40%40%40%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 Apr 164
  Predicted   26 Apr-28 Apr 170/170/165
  90 Day Mean        25 Apr 171

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 Apr  014/013
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 Apr  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 Apr-28 Apr  007/008-013/015-010/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Apr to 28 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%35%30%
Minor storm05%15%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm25%30%30%
Major-severe storm25%50%45%

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